SPML Infra

Profile Highlights

• Bulk water focus: The company focuses on bulk water projects from river to reservoir and was participating in INR 5,000 Cr. of tenders out of INR 11,000 Cr. of available tenders.
• Promoter funding: The profile notes INR 190 Cr. of promoter funds infused in 7M-FY25 and INR 160 Cr. contributed over the prior 3 years.

Key Risks

• Debt restructuring: After NARCL took over lender exposure of INR 2,612 Cr. in Aug’23, SPML was liable to pay ~INR 700 Cr. by FY2031; INR 223 Cr. had been repaid as of Sep’24.
• Cash flow and project closure: Receipt of arbitration awards and asset monetisation, closure of legacy projects, JV commissions and non-invocation of bank guarantees are listed as monitorables.

Standard disclosures

• Research Analyst has served as an officer, director or employee of subject company(ies): No
• We or our associates have received compensation from the subject company(ies) in the past 12 months: No
• We or our associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company(ies) in the past12 months: No
• We or our associates may have received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company(ies) in the past 12 months –No
• We or our associates may have received compensation or other benefits from the subject company(ies) or third party in connection with the research report –No
• We or our associates or Research Analyst or his/her relative's financial interest in the subject company(ies)- No
• Nature of financial interest in subject company, if any –Nil
• We, our associates or Research Analyst have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company (ies) at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report – No
• Subject company (ies) may have been client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report-No.
• We or our Associates or Research Analyst are engaged in market making of subject company – No
• By referring to any particular sector, Minerva Capital Research Solutions does not provide any promise or assurance of favorable view for a particular industry or sector or business group in any manner. The investor is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return profile and take professional advice before investing. Such representations are not indicative of future results.
• There are either no material conflict of interests or all existing and potential conflict of interest are disclosed herein.

Regulatory disclosures

Minerva Capital Research Solutions is an independent investment advisory firm founded by Nishant Gupta(SEBI registration no. INH000018896).

Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way promise or guarantee that the research recommendation will provide any assured, minimum or risk-free return to the investors.

The research report serves as general information and does not account for individual investment goals, financial situations, or needs. Minerva Capital Research Solutions strives to provide reliable and comprehensive information, sourced from what are believed to be trustworthy channels. However, this information has not been independently verified by Minerva Capital Research Solutions or its analysts, and no guarantees are made regarding its accuracy or completeness. The opinions expressed in this report reflect the views of the research analyst at the time of publication and may change over time. Minerva Capital Research Solutions and its affiliates as on date of publication of this report may or may not hold any positions in the securities discussed. The views presented are general and do not consider individual risk tolerance or investment objectives; therefore, readers should seek independent professional advice before making investment decisions. Minerva Capital Research Solutions does not guarantee a favorable outlook for any specific industry or sector and urges investors to consider all relevant risk factors, including their financial circumstances, before investing. The analyst certifies that their views accurately represent their personal opinions on the companies discussed and that no part of their compensation is tied to specific recommendations made in this report. This material should not be interpreted as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities in jurisdictions where such offers would be illegal. Consequently, brokerage and investment services described herein are not available to Canadian or U.S. persons. Distribution outside India requires prior written consent. This Research Report assumes that the recipient will assume all risks associated with its contents. If there are any disagreements or dissatisfaction with this report or its disclaimer, the only recourse is to cease using it. Minerva Capital Research Solutions and its affiliates will not be liable for any direct or indirect losses resulting from the use of this report. Recipients are required to adhere to these restrictions. The material is for the personal use of authorized individuals and does not constitute a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities in jurisdictions where such actions would be illegal.

For any queries or grievances: Mr. Nishant Gupta | Email: guptanishant.iimi@gmail.com | Contact Number: 8171433387 | Website: www.mcapital.in

Rating rationale

Minerva Capital Research Solutions endeavors to provide objective opinions and recommendations. Ratings are assigned to stocks according to their fair value vs current market price and then categorizes them as Buy, Hold, Reduce, Sell. The performance horizon is one year unless specified and fair value is defined as analyst’s valuation for a stock.

• Buy:> 15%
• Hold: -5% to 15%
• Reduce: -15% to -5%
• Sell: <-15%